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copacetic@discuss.tchncs.deM to forecasting@discuss.tchncs.deEnglish · 1 year ago

Metaculus and Markets: What’s the Difference?

www.metaculus.com

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Metaculus and Markets: What’s the Difference?

www.metaculus.com

copacetic@discuss.tchncs.deM to forecasting@discuss.tchncs.deEnglish · 1 year ago
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Metaculus and prediction markets both aggregate forecasts about world events, but they do so through notably different methods. Here we outline key strengths and weaknesses of each, and explain why we consider Metaculus’ approach particularly valuable.
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Forecasting is the process of making predictions based on past and present data. Any decision we make is based on a prediction what will happen. Here we study and discuss how to do that well.

Related community: !predictions@lemmy.ca

Forecasting can be about economics, marketing, products, finance, technology, policies, demographics, energy, climate, crime, politics, or whatever.

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